National Election 2013

Major trends of the national election 2013

SORA analyzes the election on the basis of voter transition data as well as the ISA/SORA election day survey among 1.224 eligible voters. Important trends of this election are:

  • BZÖ mobilises only 1 out of 10 voters from 2008
  • Most ex-BZÖ-voters turn to Freedom Party (173.000).
  • SPÖ and ÖVP: largest losses to non-voters
  • Greens strongest party among voters with university degree
  • Gender Gap: FPÖ strongest among men, ÖVP, SPÖ and Greens more female than male voters
  • New in Parliament: NEOS gains most votes from ex-ÖVP and ex-Green voters
  • Team Stronach gains most votes from those who had voted for "Others" in the 2008 national election

 

Table 1: Voter transitions for the 2013 national elections, absolute number of votes, in thousands (based on the final result incl. absentee ballots)


SPÖ '13


ÖVP '13


FPÖ '13


BZÖ '13


Grü.
'13

Stro-
nach
'13


NEOS
'13


SO
'13


NW '13

SPÖ '08

1047

35

51

17

43

47

22

15

154

ÖVP '08

34

949

38

26

47

41

58

9

69

FPÖ '08

42

38

593

18

29

41

19

7

72

BZÖ '08

59

24

173

64

41

68

20

3

71

Grü. '08

22

14

7

9

330

13

54

12

48

Sonst. '08

26

36

42

14

54

27

34

36

30

NW '08

28

31

58

18

38

32

26

14

1248

 Sum.  '13

1259

1126

962

166

583

269

233

96

1691

Example: Of the SPÖ supporters of the national election 2008, 1,047.000 voted for the SPÖ again, 35.000 voted for the ÖVP, etc.

Table 2: Voter transitions for the 2013 national elections, in percentage (based on the final result incl. absentee ballots)


SPÖ '13


ÖVP '13


FPÖ '13


BZÖ '13


Grü.
'13

Stro-
nach
'13


NEOS
'13


SO
'13


NW '13


Sum. '08

SPÖ '08

73

2

4

1

3

3

2

1

11

100%

ÖVP '08

3

75

3

2

4

3

5

1

5

100%

FPÖ '08

5

4

69

2

3

5

2

1

8

100%

BZÖ '08

11

5

33

12

8

13

4

1

14

100%

Grü. '08

4

3

1

2

65

3

11

2

9

100%

Sonst. '08

9

12

14

5

18

9

12

12

10

100%

NW '08

2

2

4

1

3

2

2

1

84

100%

Example: Of the SPÖ supporters of the national election 2008, 73% voted for the SPÖ again, 2% voted for the ÖVP, etc.