SORA Election-night Forecasts

Managing partners Günther Ogris and Christoph Hofinger have cooperated in the fields of politics, political culture and elections, long before the founding of the Institute for Social Research and Analysis (SORA). Since 1994 they have conducted election-night forecasts and offered the analysis of voter transitions to television stations and political parties.

SORA forecasts are based upon the analysis of aggregate data. The SORA team uses local voter transition data to make inferences on the overall result.

More information:

Hofinger, Christoph / Ogris, Günther (2002): Orakel der Neuzeit: Was leisten Wahlbörsen, Wählerstromanalysen und Wahltagshochrechnungen?, in: Österreichische Zeitschrift für Politikwissenschaft (31), 143-158.